Africa solar imports surge 60% in a year, pointing to a continent-wide energy leapfrog

Story: 2025 C.E.  |  Last updated: April 20, 2026

Solar panel imports across Africa climbed 60% in the 12 months to June 2025 C.E., reaching a record 15,032 MW — the strongest signal yet that a genuine, continent-wide clean energy transition is underway. Unlike a previous surge concentrated in South Africa during its 2023 C.E. power crisis, this latest wave is broad: 20 African countries set new import records, and 25 countries imported at least 100 MW, up from 15 the year before.

At a glance

• Africa solar imports: Shipments reached 15,032 MW in the year to June 2025 C.E., a 60% rise tracked by energy think tank Ember — the largest and most geographically distributed surge on record.
• Country-level growth: Algeria’s imports rose 33-fold, Zambia’s eightfold, and Botswana’s sevenfold; Nigeria overtook Egypt as the continent’s second-largest importer, bringing in 1,721 MW.
• Energy access potential: If fully installed, the imported capacity could generate electricity equivalent to 61% of Sierra Leone’s entire 2023 C.E. output, 49% of Chad’s, and more than 10% for several other countries.

Why this moment is different

Previous spikes in African solar activity tended to cluster in a handful of wealthier or crisis-driven markets. What Ember’s new data captures is something structurally different: demand spreading into smaller economies, lower-income countries, and places that centralized grids have never reliably served.

Liberia, Benin, Ethiopia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo all more than tripled their solar imports. These are not countries with strong grid infrastructure looking to add renewable capacity at the margin. They are countries where the grid barely exists — and where decentralized solar offers a faster, cheaper alternative to waiting for it.

The economics are now doing a lot of the work. The International Energy Agency’s Africa Energy Outlook has long identified solar irradiance as one of Africa’s greatest untapped assets. With solar module costs falling more than 80% over the past decade, that asset is finally becoming financially accessible. In Nigeria, analysts calculate that savings from reduced diesel use could repay the cost of a solar panel in as little as six months.

The leapfrog logic

The concept of energy leapfrogging — skipping fossil-heavy development pathways entirely — has been a staple of climate optimism for years. What Africa’s import surge suggests is that it may be happening in practice, not just in theory.

The parallel to mobile phones is instructive. Rather than build landline infrastructure that richer regions had spent a century constructing, much of Africa went directly to mobile networks. That leapfrog reshaped communication, commerce, and finance across the continent. A similar dynamic in energy would be enormously consequential.

Nearly 600 million people in Africa currently lack electricity access, while millions more depend on unreliable grids and expensive diesel generators. Every solar installation that bypasses those constraints represents not just a cleaner energy choice but a faster one. Students can study after dark. Clinics can refrigerate vaccines. Small businesses can run equipment without fuel costs eating into thin margins.

In nine of the top ten solar-importing countries, petroleum product import bills outweighed solar panel imports by 30 to 107 times — a ratio that underlines both the scale of the problem solar is solving and the fiscal relief it could eventually provide.

A climate win built into the foundation

The long-term significance may lie in what Africa is choosing not to build. Every coal plant or gas network constructed now commits a country to decades of carbon emissions and fuel-price exposure. Africa, in many regions, is currently making infrastructure decisions before fossil fuel lock-in has a chance to take hold.

The International Renewable Energy Agency has consistently noted that Africa receives some of the highest solar irradiance on Earth. The question has always been whether affordable hardware and financing would arrive in time to shape the continent’s energy future before fossil infrastructure did. The 60% import surge suggests the window has not closed.

That matters globally, not just regionally. A solar-led energy expansion across a continent of 1.4 billion people — growing fast — would represent one of the most significant climate wins of this decade.

What still needs to go right

The picture is genuinely encouraging, but the gap between imports and installed capacity is real and untracked. Analysts, including Ember’s Chief Analyst Dave Jones, have warned that without stronger data on installation rates, grid integration, and project financing, “the full potential of the continent’s renewable future could be undermined.”

Policy frameworks remain uneven. Kenya, South Africa, and Morocco have built regulatory environments that support renewables at scale. Many other countries are still constrained by weak grid infrastructure, limited financing access, and regulatory uncertainty. Local manufacturing is also largely absent — most panels arrive from China, which means much of the economic value of the solar boom currently leaves the continent.

Muhammad Mustafa Amjad of Renewables First put it plainly: “Bottom-up energy transitions fueled by cheap solar are no longer a choice — they are the future. But if installation data is not properly tracked, opportunities for equitable and efficient transition could be lost.”

The momentum is real. Whether it compounds into a sustained revolution will depend on how consistently governments, financiers, and the private sector convert record import numbers into record installation numbers on the ground.

Read more

For more on this story, see: Africa Sustainability Matters

For more from Good News for Humankind, see:

• Renewables now make up at least 49% of global power capacity
• U.K. cancer death rates down to their lowest level on record
• The Good News for Humankind archive on clean energy

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